Dodge The Boxes: 2016 US Presidential Election Edition Mac OS
Robert Bernard Reich (/ r aɪ ʃ /; born June 24, 1946) is an American economist, professor, author, and political commentator. He served in the administrations of Presidents Gerald Ford and Jimmy Carter, as well as serving as the United States Secretary of Labor from. Speculation of a presidential run. In September 2015, Cuban stated in an interview that running for president was 'a fun idea to toss around', and that, if he were running in the 2016 U.S. Presidential election, he 'could beat both Trump and Clinton'.
- Dodge The Boxes: 2016 Us Presidential Election Edition Mac Os Operating System
- Dodge The Boxes: 2016 Us Presidential Election Edition Mac Os Download
With polling of the 2020 race just about concluded, former Vice President Joe Biden is in an interesting position.
Biden’s national lead is large, and he has consistently led polls in states that would be sufficient to deliver him 270 electoral votes and therefore the presidency — most notably, the triad of Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania.
Yet Biden’s lead in Pennsylvania — 2.6 to 4.7 points, depending on the pollingaverage — is not quite big enough for Democrats to be completely confident in it, particularly given what happened in 2016, when Donald Trump won the state and the polls underestimated Trump’s performance there by about 4 points.
Biden is also either narrowly ahead or about tied in polls of another set of swing states that he doesn’t even need to win: Florida, North Carolina, Arizona, Georgia, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas.
But in these states where Biden does lead, his leads are small (one to three points in polling averages). The others are pure toss-ups. If Trump sweeps these states or comes close to doing so, Biden really does need to hang on to Pennsylvania.
Still, it’s hard to point to many bad signs in the final polls for Biden. He’s clearly the favorite, with a 9 in 10 chance of winning, according to FiveThirtyEight. Indeed, if the polls are underestimating Biden’s strength by just 2 points, he’d win all the swing states listed above, and finish up with a 400+ electoral vote landslide.
And yet due to the Electoral College, Biden’s leads are not yet quite big enough to dismiss Trump’s path to victory entirely. To get 270 votes, Trump needs to come out on top in nearly all the toss-up states, and snag Pennsylvania as well.
Trump probably needs to win Pennsylvania to have a shot at victory
To get a sense of where the polls are, let’s start off with a scenario where Biden and Trump each win everywhere they’re up by four percentage points or more, according to the FiveThirtyEight polling averages.
In this scenario, Biden would win the states Hillary Clinton won in 2016, plus Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. That would be enough for him to win the presidency without needing any of the toss-up states that polling averages show being closer (depicted in gray on this map).
So Trump very much needs to find weak spots in this map. And, understandably, he’s focused on the same weak spots that were in Democrats’ “blue wall” in 2016 — Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania.
The final polls showed Hillary Clinton winning all three of those states, but Trump won them all instead, each by a margin less than 1 percentage point. However, Biden’s poll leads in each state are bigger than Clinton’s leads were in 2016.
In, Michigan and Wisconsin, Biden leads by about 8 percentage points in the FiveThirtyEightaverages. The RealClearPoliticsaverages show it a bit closer, with Biden’s lead at 5 to 6 points in each. But basically, Trump has to hope for a fairly large polling miss to put him in contention in either states.
Video: Obama compares Trump to a 'two-bit dictator' (Associated Press)
Pennsylvania, however, is a bit of a different story. FiveThirtyEight places Biden’s lead there at 4.7 percentage points, while it has dropped in RealClearPolitics to 2.6 percentage points. The point is, Pennsylvania appears to be closer than Michigan or Wisconsin. It’s also the biggest of the three states, with 20 electoral votes at stake.
So if something were to go wrong for Joe Biden, it would probably entail a loss in Pennsylvania. Conversely, if Biden wins Pennsylvania, he’s likely won the presidency as well.
Trump would also need to win nearly all the toss-up states
Let’s return to this map, of states where each candidate is leading by four points or more in FiveThirtyEight’s averages, and focus on another takeaway: Trump is only up to 125 electoral votes in it, less than half the number he needs for victory.
So to get anywhere even close to winning, Trump needs to win the vast majority of votes in the toss-up states — those where neither candidate is ahead by four points or more. And the bigger the state is here, the more important it is for Trump’s math.
Texas, with 38 electoral votes at stake, is clearly the most important. But FiveThirtyEight shows Trump ahead by a mere 1.1 percentage points in the traditionally Republican state, and RealClearPolitics shows Trump up by 1.2. Trump absolutely cannot afford to lose this one.
Florida, with 29 electoral votes, is also essentially a must-win state for Trump. Here, FiveThirtyEight shows Biden with a 2.5 percentage point lead, while RealClearPolitics shows it a bit closer, with Biden up by 1.8 points.
But there’s more.
- Ohio has 18 electoral votes, and it’s quite close (Trump up by 0.8 per FiveThirtyEight, Trump up by 1.4 per RealClearPolitics).
- The same is true for Georgia and its 16 electoral votes (Biden up by 1.2 per FiveThirtyEight, Trump up by 0.2 per RCP).
- And there’s also North Carolina with 15 electoral votes (Biden up 1.8 per FiveThirtyEight, Trump up by 0.2 per RCP).
- Iowa’s 6 electoral votes are only likely to be decisive in a very close contest, but it certainly doesn’t help Trump if he loses them, and he’s only up by about 1.4 in bothaverages.
So let’s say Trump pulls it out in all these states — Texas, Florida, Ohio, Georgia, North Carolina, and Iowa. Let’s give him Pennsylvania and the lone electoral vote in Maine’s second district, too. Then the election comes down to the one state remaining: Arizona and its 11 electoral votes.
Arizona is another traditionally Republican state, but it’s been one of the strongest of this group of swing states for Biden (though it’s still quite close)— Biden leads by 2.6 percentage points there per FiveThirtyEight, and by 0.9 per RealClearPolitics.
So, interestingly, Arizona could be a “Plan B” for Biden if he loses Pennsylvania. Winning it would give Biden 270 electoral votes, exactly what he needs to win — though he’d have to hold on to Nebraska’s second district (which Trump won last time but where polls show Biden leading this time), and to prevent any defections from faithless electors. (If neither candidate gets to 270 electoral votes, the election will be determined by votes of state delegations in the new House of Representatives in January — and it’s unclear which party will control more of those.)
Meanwhile, if Trump flips Arizona in addition to Pennsylvania, here’s his victory map:
You can see Trump has little room for error. Of the toss-up states, he can afford to lose Iowa, but if he loses any others, he’ll have to make up for those losses by plucking away more states where Biden leads by a lot (like Wisconsin or Michigan).
How different is this from 2016’s final polls?
This roundup may be giving you a sense of déjà vu — since the polls just before the 2016 election also found that the Democratic candidate looked to be ahead in enough states that would deliver victory.
There has been muchdigitalink spilled about how 2020 is not 2016, and there are indeed many differences. This time around, Biden is leading by more nationally than Clinton was. Polls also show Biden leading in more swing states, usually by bigger margins, as compared to Clinton. Biden tends to top 50 percent in more state polls as well, since there are fewer undecided and third-party voters. Analysts with access to non-public polling of congressional districts report it generally looks good for Biden.
Yet there is one similarity: in the likely tipping point state, Pennsylvania, FiveThirtyEight’s average puts Biden ahead by 4.7 percentage points — and it had shown Hillary Clinton ahead by 3.7 percentage points. (Trump won by 0.7.)
There is no reason to necessarily expect the mistakes of 2016 to be repeated. Polling error could also underestimate Biden’s strength. And remember that Pennsylvania alone wouldn’t be enough — Trump probably needs to win all of Florida, North Carolina, Georgia, Ohio, and Texas as well. Overall, though, this is why Biden looks to be in a strong position — but there is still just a hint of doubt about what will transpire.
December 9, 2020
Four add-ons containing the scenarios and missions of the versions of the game from the previous years from 2016 to 2019 are now for sale on our site in downloadable version or for Steam
All the details of each add-on accessible from this page
December 16, 2020
Patch version 6.60 for 2020 Edition is released! See details here.
October 8, 2020
Patch version 6.58 for 2020 Edition is released! See details here.
September 25, 2020
The Simplified Chinese language version of the 2020 Edition is now available.
For sale on this page.
September 18, 2020
Modding Tool and God'N Spy for 2020 Edition are now available.
For sale on this page.
September 17, 2020
It contains new scenarios, new features, and up to date data for 2020.
The game is now available in English, French, German, Spanish, Italian, Japanese, Russian, and Portuguese languages from this website.
Chinese language version to be available within a week.
More details about the full game version on this page
More details about the Upgrade version on this page
September 16, 2020
It contains new scenarios, new features, and up to date data for 2020.
The game is now available in English, French, German, Spanish, Italian, Japanese, Russian, and Portuguese languages from this website.
Note: this version is not compatible with Steam. Steam version will be available within a few days.
Chinese language version to be available within a week.
More details about the full game version on this page
More details about the Upgrade version on this page
April 30, 2020
Information on the Release of Power & Revolution 2020 Edition
This new edition will be released this summer with the following main content: management of the COVID-19 pandemic and the resulting historic economic crisis and its impact for years to come; broadening of military simulations (new units, formation of squads, missile silos...); the American presidential election; and legislative change of political systems (republic into monarchy...).
Moreover, the game will receive numerous other additions, various improvements and all the latest data.
We are aware of the delay in releasing this product and the frustration that this creates in the community but the inclusion of the disruption from the pandemic required us to modify the contents and adapt the algorithms in order to make the simulation of 2020 and the years to follow as realistic as possible.As in previous years, owners of the 2019 edition of Power & Revolution will receive a significant discount on the price of the 2020 edition.
Eversim will announce more details about the contents soon.
July 19, 2019
The 2019 Edition Add-on is available for MAC. (MAC Steam version also avaialble)
See on this page
June 21, 2019
Patch version 6.46 for 2019 Edition is released! See details here.
June 14, 2019
Patch version 6.45 for 2019 Edition is released! See details here.
May 29, 2019
Patch version 6.44 for 2019 Edition is released! See details here.
March 22, 2019
The God'N Spy Add-on DLC and God'N Spy Add-on DLC in Steam version for Power & Revolution 2019 Edition are now available.
God'N Spy : see on this page
Modding Tool : see on this page
March 12, 2019
Steam version : Power & Revolution 2019 Edition is avaialble for Steam!
Buy the full game version in this pageand benefit from the 20% price reduction during the first week launch.
If you already own the Power & Revolution game buy the Add-on alone on this page
Additional information; if you already own DLCs of the Power & Revolution game (God'n Spy, Modding Tool), they will automatically be taken into account and still active in your new Power & Revolution 2019 Edition game.
February 28, 2019
All languages versions of the 2019 Edition Add-on are now released!
Note: these versions are not compatible with Steam. Steam version will be soon available.
Release date of MACOSX versions to be announced later.
December 20, 2018
the “2019 Edition” Add-on of Power & Revolution!
It will contain new scenarios, new features, and up to date data for 2019.
This version will be released between January 25th and 31st in 2019.
More details on this page
September 10, 2018
Special offer : the 2018 Edition add-on is included for free with any purchase of the Power & Revolution game.
With this bundle, get the most updated simulation and the latest features.
See details here.
July 24, 2018
Patch version 6.38 for 2018 Edition is released! See details here.
March 28, 2018
Patch version 6.37 for 2018 Edition is released! See details here.
February 20, 2018
Dodge The Boxes: 2016 Us Presidential Election Edition Mac Os Operating System
Release of the 2018 Edition:
- English, French, German, Spanish, Italian, Russian, Brazilian, Japanese, and Simplified Chinese versions are now available
- All Steam versions for Windows & Macosx are available
- All MacOSX versions are available
December 19, 2017
The 'Power & Revolution Expert Pack' bundle is now on sale on our website.
It offers a 34% reduced price!
View this page
December 15, 2017
It will contain new scenarios, including the US-North Korea conflict and new features, including the conquest of space, cybersecurity, anti-terrorism, Internet infrastructures and up to date data for 2018.
This version will be released between January 15th and 31st in 2018.
View this page
July 4, 2017
See the mod description on this link.
See the patch details on this link.
February 21, 2017
The 2017 Edition Add-on is now available for MAC!
For sale on this page.
February 17, 2017
Youtube Let's Play of Joueur du Grenier about Power & Revolution: more than 1 million views!
www.youtube.com/watch?v=DRp-SVoBzRI.
February 15, 2017
Patch version 6.30 released! See details here.
February 6, 2017
Modding Tool and God'N Spy Add-ons are now available for MAC!
For sale on this page.
January 20, 2017
It's Inauguration Day for Donald Trump. With the 2017 Edition add-on, try out the political agenda of the new US President: Will it be viable?
Engage in conflicts mapped-out for 2017: Will this year see the end of conflict in Syria and Iraq?
See details here.
December 08, 2016
The English MAC version is available!Click here
If you already own a MAC version of Masters of the World, Geopolitical Simulator 3, you can get a
25% discount by purchasing the upgrade version.
Click here
October 25,2016
Results for the Contest for Best Power & Revolution Mods. The three winners are:
- Best scenario ($500 prize) : 'Jupiter Attacks!' by BAJH2M
- Most original mod ($250 prize) : 'Intruders awakening!' by Pokix
- Most popular mod ($250 prize) : 'Time of Great Empires 2016' by Javi_vid
October 20,2016
Follow us on our brand new Twitter account to get our news: releases, upcoming products, special events,... Twitter Page.
October 20,2016
Modding Tool and God'n Spy add-ons are now available for the Japanese version. On this page.
October 5, 2016
Answer to our survey about the opportunity to publish a boxed limited edition. See details here.
September 15, 2016
The Japanese version of Power & Revolution is now available! For sale on this page.
September 14, 2016
Dodge The Boxes: 2016 Us Presidential Election Edition Mac Os Download
The Modding Tool Add-on (Chinese version) is now available! For sale on this page.
September 12, 2016
Patch version 6.23 released! See details here.
September 9, 2016
Between August 5th and October 5th 2016,
create a scenario with the Power & Revolution Modding Tool,
and you could be one of the Eversim prizewinners of fall 2016.
Best scenario - Prize : $500
This award will be for the best-developed and most interesting scenario, with lots of character involvement, plot twists and a cohesive story.
Most original mod – Prize : $250
This award will be for the mod showing the most original background and high quality formatting.
Most popular mod - Prize : $250
This is the Audience Award - votes from the internet users will determine the winner.
Mod submission deadline: 10/05/2016
Announcement of results: 10/25/2016
All you need to do to enter is use the Modding Tool’s built-in sharing option!
August 5, 2016
The Modding Tool Add-on is now available !
For sale on this page.
You can now buy a Steam DLC key directly from our website: simply click on Steam button in the buying page.
July 29, 2016
The God'n Spy Add-on is now available !
For sale on this page.
You can now buy a Steam DLC key directly from our website: simply click on Steam button in the buying page.
July 13, 2016
Patch version 6.20 released! See details here.
Official release dates of
Geo-Political Simulator 4, POWER & REVOLUTION
for PC Windows
English, French, German, Italian, Spanish, Russian, and now Portuguese language versions of the game are available.
The dates for other languages (Simplified Chinese and, Japanese) will be announced later.
You can now buy a Steam key directly from our website (versions in English, French and German only): simply click on Steam button in the buying page.
Note: if you had bought the game (versions in English, French and German only) on this site before May 26, 2016, you can ask for an exchange against a Steam version on this page.
If you already own Masters of the world, Geopolitical Simulator 3, you can get a
15% discount by purchasing the upgrade version.
Click here
The game also boasts tactical wargame phases in cities during popular uprisings or armed conflicts, with the ability to control all types of elements (protesters, hooligans, armed extremists, police forces, police vans, helicopters, snipers, armored vehicles...).
The major conflicts in the world are simulated (Syria, Iraq, Libya, Ukraine, Nigeria, Yemen...) with the finest details: front lines, occupied territories, besieged cities, locations of military units, international military bases, personnel and equipment of terrorist groups...